Export subsidies and the first-mover (dis)advantage

In the presence of home firm's ability to make a cost-reducing investment before or after the government set its subsidy level, this paper analyzes the impact of timing on the optimal policy of the government. We find that under complete information assumption, the firm will overinvest and consequently, the government will over-subsidize, resulting in lower welfare levels than would arise under non-intervention. We extend the model to the case in which the home firm has private information about its own costs, which it may want to signal to the government through its investment choice. We find that under this setup, the low-cost firm overinvests even more than under full information case, making the policy of non-intervention even more attractive.