Setting the field: An analytical framework to assess the potential of urban agriculture

Urban agriculture’s potential for food production and other social benefits is widely documented. However, the diversity of organisational structures and contextual factors that shape and drive the practice leads to a range of productivity levels. Yet, most studies estimate productivity using average production data, which compromises the reliability of the estimates. The objective of the study presented here is to develop a GIS-based spatial analytical framework that takes into account varying levels of productivity for four urban food garden types: Home, Community, Educational, and Commercial. We apply this analytical framework in Bogotá, Colombia, a city at the forefront of policies promoting urban agriculture, where we collected data from a sample of urban food gardens (i.e., produce yield, resource use, and social benefits). To increase the precision and reliability of the estimates, we perform a spatial Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis through several ArcGIS pro 3.1 functions. This allows the identification of suitable areas for each urban agriculture type, based on key spatial and social characteristics (location, proximity to roads and to rivers, private or public land, urban density, and socio-economic demographic conditions). Results suggest that 25% of Bogotá’s surface area (including vacant urban land and roofs) presents potential physical and social conditions for food growing, within which Home Gardens occupy the largest share of suitable land. This shows that land availability is not a key limiting factor to a possible expansion of urban agriculture, particularly at a household level. Resource consumption and educational benefits are also estimated, hence providing a comprehensive picture of the impact of urban food production at a city scale.