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Citizens and Peace Mediations in Divided Societies: Identifying Zones of Agreement through a Conjoint Survey Experiment

Loizides, Neophytos G., Psaltis, Charis, Morgan-Jones, Edward, Sudulich, Laura, Popp, Raluca, Baykiz, Tekin (2022) Citizens and Peace Mediations in Divided Societies: Identifying Zones of Agreement through a Conjoint Survey Experiment. Journal of Conflict Resolution, . ISSN 0022-0027. (doi:10.1177/00220027221108221) (KAR id:95229)

Abstract

How can areas of potential agreement be identified and endorsed by citizens in protracted conflicts? In an effort to answer this question, the article introduces a conjoint experiment across the ethnically and territorially split communities of Cyprus and tests a range of hypotheses about the structure of public opinion with respect to a future settlement. We test hypotheses on security and credible commitments, the legacy of past negotiations, as well as transitional justice mechanisms following United Nations plans to mediate the conflict between Greek and Turkish Cypriots. Contrary to conventional wisdom, we demonstrate that a zone of possible agreement (ZOPA) exists from a public opinion perspective. We specifically explore power-sharing in the context of security, provisions for the internally displaced, federal courts, and territorial readjustments and highlight their relative importance for public opinion interventions across conflict-ridden societies.

Item Type: Article
DOI/Identification number: 10.1177/00220027221108221
Uncontrolled keywords: integrative (win-win) negotiations, ZOPA, peace agreements, conjoint analysis, power-sharing, federal courts, displacement
Subjects: J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
Divisions: Divisions > Division of Human and Social Sciences > School of Politics and International Relations
Depositing User: Neophytos Loizides
Date Deposited: 30 May 2022 15:48 UTC
Last Modified: 04 Jul 2023 11:12 UTC
Resource URI: https://kar.kent.ac.uk/id/eprint/95229 (The current URI for this page, for reference purposes)

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