Clinical and Echocardiographic Factors Associated With New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Heart Failure – Subanalysis of the WARCEF Trial –

Kato, Tomoko S., Di Tullio, Marco R., Qian, Min, Wu, Mengfei, Thompson, John L.P., Mann, Douglas L., Sacco, Ralph L., Pullicino, Patrick, Freudenberger, Ronald S., Teerlink, John R., and others. (2016) Clinical and Echocardiographic Factors Associated With New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Heart Failure – Subanalysis of the WARCEF Trial –. Circulation Journal, 80 (3). pp. 619-626. ISSN 1346-9843. (doi:10.1253/circj.CJ-15-1054) (The full text of this publication is not currently available from this repository. You may be able to access a copy if URLs are provided) (KAR id:60704)

The full text of this publication is not currently available from this repository. You may be able to access a copy if URLs are provided.
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1253/circj.CJ-15-1054

Abstract

Background:Heart failure (HF) patients have a high incidence of new-onset AF. Given the adverse prognostic influence of AF in HF, identifying patients at high risk of developing AF is important.Methods?and?Results:The incidence and factors associated with new-onset AF were investigated in patients in sinus rhythm with reduced LVEF enrolled in the Warfarin versus Aspirin in Reduced Cardiac Ejection Fraction (WARCEF) trial. Analyses involved clinical factors alone (n=2,219), and clinical plus echocardiographic findings (n=1,125). During 3.5±1.8 years of follow-up, 212 patients (9.6% of total cohort) developed AF. In both samples, new-onset AF was associated with age, male sex, White race, and IHD. Among echocardiographic variables, only LAD predicted AF. On multivariate Cox modeling, age (HR, 1.02; 95% CI: 1.00–1.03, P=0.008), IHD (HR, 1.37; 95% CI: 1.02–1.84, P=0.036) and LAD (HR, 1.48; 95% CI: 1.15–1.91, P=0.003) remained associated with AF onset. Patients with IHD, LAD>4.5 cm and age>50 years had a 2.5-fold higher risk of AF than patients without any of these characteristics (HR, 2.52; 95% CI: 1.72–3.69, P<0.0001).Conclusions:Age, IHD and LAD independently predict new-onset AF in HF patients in sinus rhythm, at younger age and smaller LAD than generally believed. This information may be useful to risk-stratify HF patients for AF development, allowing close monitoring and possibly early detection. (Circ J 2016; 80: 619–626)

Item Type:	Article
DOI/Identification number:	10.1253/circj.CJ-15-1054
Uncontrolled keywords:	Atrial fibrillation; Echocardiography; Heart failure; Prognosis; Risk assessment
Divisions:	Divisions > Division for the Study of Law, Society and Social Justice > School of Social Policy, Sociology and Social Research Divisions > Division for the Study of Law, Society and Social Justice > School of Social Policy, Sociology and Social Research > Centre for Health Services Studies
Depositing User:	P. Pullicino
Date Deposited:	03 Mar 2017 16:07 UTC
Last Modified:	17 Aug 2022 12:21 UTC
Resource URI:	https://kar.kent.ac.uk/id/eprint/60704 (The current URI for this page, for reference purposes)

University of Kent Author Information

Pullicino, Patrick.

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