Getting out the right-wing extremist vote: extreme right party support and campaign effects at a recent British general election

Cutts, David and Goodwin, Matthew J. (2014) Getting out the right-wing extremist vote: extreme right party support and campaign effects at a recent British general election. European Political Science Review, 6 (01). pp. 93-114. ISSN 1755-7739. E-ISSN 1755-7747. (doi:https://doi.org/10.1017/S1755773912000288) (The full text of this publication is not currently available from this repository. You may be able to access a copy if URLs are provided)

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Official URL
http://doi.org/10.1017/S1755773912000288

Abstract

Despite strong evidence in the wider study of electoral behaviour that party campaigning can have important effects on performance, and a large pan-European literature on populist radical right and extreme right campaigns, we know very little about the impact of the latter on electoral performance. Drawing on a range of innovative campaign-related data at the aggregate and individual level, we examine the electoral impact of the British National Party (BNP) at the 2010 British general election. Our analysis reveals that whereas the extreme right polled strongest in working class manufacturing areas, support for the extreme right was significantly higher in areas where it ran intensive local campaigns, recruited larger numbers of members, has achieved local electoral success, and where local politics has historically been dominated by the centre-left. However, we find little evidence that the extreme right has benefited electorally in areas where the English Defence League social movement had previously demonstrated. Our aggregate level findings are also confirmed at the individual level after controlling for a battery of established attitudinal predictors of extreme right voting. Those contacted by the BNP campaign were significantly more likely to vote for the party, while campaigning by all other political parties was ineffective in reducing the probability of voting BNP.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled keywords: far right party; general election; campaign effects
Subjects: J Political Science
Divisions: Faculties > Social Sciences > School of Politics and International Relations
Depositing User: Matthew Goodwin
Date Deposited: 01 Mar 2016 13:16 UTC
Last Modified: 07 Mar 2016 12:16 UTC
Resource URI: https://kar.kent.ac.uk/id/eprint/54386 (The current URI for this page, for reference purposes)
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