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Combination Forecasts of Bond and Stock Returns: An Asset Allocation Perspective

Panopoulou, Ekaterini and Plastira, Sotiria (2014) Combination Forecasts of Bond and Stock Returns: An Asset Allocation Perspective. Working paper. Kent Business School 10.2139/ssrn.2402286. (doi:10.2139/ssrn.2402286) (KAR id:45141)


We investigate the out-of-sample forecasting ability of the HML, SMB, momentum, short-term and long-term reversal factors along with their size and value decompositions on U.S. bond and stock returns for a variety of horizons ranging from the short run (1 month) to the long run (2 years). Our findings suggest that these factors contain significantly more information for future bond and stock market returns than the typically employed financial variables. Combination of forecasts of the empirical factors turns out to be particularly successful, especially from an an asset allocation perspective. Similar findings pertain to the European and Japanese markets.

Item Type: Reports and Papers (Working paper)
DOI/Identification number: 10.2139/ssrn.2402286
Uncontrolled keywords: Combination forecasts; Fama French factors; Stock return predictability; Bond return predictability; Asset allocation;
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Divisions: Divisions > Kent Business School - Division > Kent Business School (do not use)
Depositing User: Ekaterini Panopoulou
Date Deposited: 21 Nov 2014 10:53 UTC
Last Modified: 09 Mar 2023 11:33 UTC
Resource URI: (The current URI for this page, for reference purposes)

University of Kent Author Information

Panopoulou, Ekaterini.

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