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Fractional Integration of Nominal Exchange Rates: Evidence from CEECs in the Light of EMU Enlargement

Barros, Carlos P., Gil-Alana, Luis, Matousek, Roman (2011) Fractional Integration of Nominal Exchange Rates: Evidence from CEECs in the Light of EMU Enlargement. Review of International Economics, 19 (1). pp. 77-92. ISSN 0965-7576. (doi:10.1111/j.1467-9396.2010.00933.x) (The full text of this publication is not currently available from this repository. You may be able to access a copy if URLs are provided)

The full text of this publication is not currently available from this repository. You may be able to access a copy if URLs are provided. (Contact us about this Publication)
Official URL
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9396.2010.00933.x

Abstract

This paper uses fractional integration models to describe the long-run dependence of nominal exchange rates in Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs). The analysis is validated using nonparametric, semiparametric and parametric techniques. From comparing the results across the three approaches, it was clear that mean reversion takes places only for the euro exchange rates in Bulgaria, Estonia, and Slovenia. Other exchange rates based on the euro also display mean reversion with the parametric methods. For the US dollar rates, the unit-root null hypothesis cannot be rejected in any single country, indicating that shocks affecting the exchange rates against the US dollar are of a permanent nature, while those directed against the euro are less persistent, and tend sometimes to disappear in the long run. Policy implications are derived.

Item Type: Article
DOI/Identification number: 10.1111/j.1467-9396.2010.00933.x
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Divisions: Faculties > Social Sciences > Kent Business School > Accounting and Finance
Depositing User: Tracey Pemble
Date Deposited: 08 Apr 2014 15:26 UTC
Last Modified: 29 May 2019 12:05 UTC
Resource URI: https://kar.kent.ac.uk/id/eprint/39103 (The current URI for this page, for reference purposes)
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