A long-run non-linear approach to the Fisher effect

Christopoulos, Dimitris K and Leon-Ledesma, Miguel A. (2007) A long-run non-linear approach to the Fisher effect. Journal of Money Credit and Banking, 39 (2-3). pp. 543-559. ISSN 0022-2879. (The full text of this publication is not currently available from this repository. You may be able to access a copy if URLs are provided)

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Official URL
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.0022-2879.2007.00035.x

Abstract

We argue that the empirical failure of the Fisher effect found in the literature may be due to the existence of non-linearities in the long-run relationship between interest rates and inflation. We present evidence that, for the U.S. during the 1960–2004 period, the Fisher relation presents important non-linearities. We model the long-run non-linear relationship and find that an ESTR model for the pre-Volcker era and an LSTR model for the post-Volcker era are able to control for non-linearities and constitute long-run co-integration vectors. Monte Carlo evidence produces support for the hypothesis that non-linearities may also be responsible for the less than proportional coefficients of inflation usually found in the linear specifications.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled keywords: Fisher effect, non-linearities, co-integration.
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Divisions: Faculties > Social Sciences > School of Economics
Depositing User: Louise Dorman
Date Deposited: 19 Dec 2007 19:31
Last Modified: 28 May 2014 14:26
Resource URI: https://kar.kent.ac.uk/id/eprint/2159 (The current URI for this page, for reference purposes)
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