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From patterns to processes: Phase and density dependencies in the Canadian lynx cycle

Stenseth, Nils C., Falck, Wilhelm, Chan, Kung-Sik, Bjornstad, Ottar N., O'Donoghue, Mark, Tong, Howell, Boonstra, Rudy, Boutin, Stan, Krebs, Charles J., Yoccoz, Nigel G. and others. (1998) From patterns to processes: Phase and density dependencies in the Canadian lynx cycle. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 95 (26). pp. 15430-15435. ISSN 0027-8424. (doi:10.1073/pnas.95.26.15430) (The full text of this publication is not currently available from this repository. You may be able to access a copy if URLs are provided) (KAR id:17176)

The full text of this publication is not currently available from this repository. You may be able to access a copy if URLs are provided.
Official URL:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.95.26.15430

Abstract

Across the boreal forest of North America, lynx populations undergo 10-year cycles. Analysis of 21 time series from 1821 to the present demonstrates that these fluctuations are generated by nonlinear processes with regulatory delays. Trophic interactions between lynx and hares cause delayed density-dependent regulation of lynx population growth. The nonlinearity, in contrast, appears to arise from phase dependencies in hunting success by lynx through the cycle. Using a combined approach of empirical, statistical, and mathematical modeling, we highlight how shifts in trophic interactions between the lynx and the hare generate the nonlinear process primarily by shifting functional response curves during the increase and the decrease phases.

Item Type: Article
DOI/Identification number: 10.1073/pnas.95.26.15430
Uncontrolled keywords: statistical modeling; nonlinearity; threshold autoregressive modeling; population dynamics
Subjects: Q Science
Q Science > QA Mathematics (inc Computing science) > QA276 Mathematical statistics
Q Science > QH Natural history
Divisions: Divisions > Division of Natural Sciences > Biosciences
Divisions > Division of Computing, Engineering and Mathematical Sciences > School of Mathematics, Statistics and Actuarial Science
Depositing User: Tara Puri
Date Deposited: 04 Jun 2009 13:15 UTC
Last Modified: 16 Nov 2021 09:55 UTC
Resource URI: https://kar.kent.ac.uk/id/eprint/17176 (The current URI for this page, for reference purposes)

University of Kent Author Information

Tong, Howell.

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