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The role of species distribution models and multiple data sources in implementing dynamic ocean management

Nazario, Emily C., Bailey, Helen, Rhodes, Rachel, Hazen, Elliott L., Bograd, Steven J., Sell, Austin, McCauley, Douglas J., Baumgartner, Mark F., Širović, Ana, Abrahms, Briana, and others. (2026) The role of species distribution models and multiple data sources in implementing dynamic ocean management. Cambridge Prisms: Coastal Futures, 4 . Article Number e20. ISSN 2754-7205. (doi:10.1017/cft.2026.10041) (KAR id:116073)

Abstract

We use the Whale Safe initiative as a case study to investigate the efficacy of species distribution models (SDMs) for dynamic ocean management in a relatively data-rich context. This program combines SDMs, passive acoustic monitoring and opportunistic sightings data to help reduce whale-ship collisions off California, USA. Blue whale SDM predictions were significantly correlated with the in situ observations of whale presence (sightings and passive acoustic detections), suggesting that the model is a reliable source for indicating blue whale presence. We also demonstrated from this multiyear program the value of integrating multiple sources of inference (sightings, acoustics and SDMs) for achieving dynamic management. The results indicated the potential benefit of using validated SDMs in less data-rich regions to support dynamic ocean management when in situ real-time data sources are sporadic or unavailable.

Item Type: Article
DOI/Identification number: 10.1017/cft.2026.10041
Uncontrolled keywords: SDMs, WhaleWatch, blue whales, adaptive management
Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation
Q Science > QH Natural history > QH75 Conservation (Biology)
Institutional Unit: Schools > School of Natural Sciences > Conservation
Institutes > Durrell Institute of Conservation and Ecology
Former Institutional Unit:
There are no former institutional units.
Funders: Research England (https://ror.org/02wxr8x18)
Depositing User: Rachel Seary
Date Deposited: 07 Sep 2026 10:00 UTC
Last Modified: 10 Sep 2026 09:54 UTC
Resource URI: https://kar.kent.ac.uk/id/eprint/116073 (The current URI for this page, for reference purposes)

University of Kent Author Information

Seary, Rachel.

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