Interrater reliability and predictive validity of the Spousal Assault Risk Assessment – Version 3 (SARA-V3)

This study examined the interrater reliability and predictive validity of Conclusory Opinions made using the Spousal Assault Risk Assessment Guide-Version 3 (SARA-V3). Using a pseudo-prospective design, researchers coded SARA-V3 assessments from the files of 125 Australian males with prior intimate partner violence (IPV) and evaluated validity using IPV charges over 4 years. While total scores demonstrated excellent interrater reliability (ICC = .94), Conclusory Opinions showed variable reliability (ICC = .54–.92). Conclusory Opinions had limited ability to discriminate between those with and without further police-recorded IPV (AUC = .51–.61). Sensitivity was consistently low (16.67%–33.33%), indicating most of those with further IPV were not identified as high Case Priority. Victim Vulnerability factors could not be rated due to limited file information, representing a significant limitation. These findings suggest Conclusory Opinions informed by Nature of IPV and Perpetrator risk factors may have limited predictive utility, raising questions about practical advantages over its predecessor.