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Divergent heat assessments across thermal stress and sensation metrics

Huang, Xinjie, Kong, Qinqin, Huber, Matthew, Nikolopoulou, Marialena, Wang, Zhi‐Hua, Li, Peiyuan, Middel, Ariane, Li, Dan, Matzarakis, Andreas, Vanos, Jennifer K., and others. (2026) Divergent heat assessments across thermal stress and sensation metrics. Earth's Future, 14 (7). Article Number e2026EF008395. E-ISSN 2328-4277. (doi:10.1029/2026EF008395) (KAR id:115796)

Abstract

A large and growing body of literature has indicated potential inconsistencies in heat assessments due to the use of different heat stress indices (HSI). This divergence hinders the emergence of scientific consensus and impairs the development of public policy on a range of topics, including climate change impacts, public health guidance, and heat adaptation strategies. Beyond discrepancies among physically based HSI themselves, divergence may also arise between physical thermal stress and psychological thermal sensation; such deviation can delay active behavior adaptation measures but has rarely been examined. To explain the semetric divergences, we first connect the different assessments of HSI to their varying sensitivities to meteorological drivers and introduce a clustering framework to guide their applications. We then identify spatiotemporal hotspots where sensation‐based estimates diverge from HSI‐based assessments, highlighting cases where reliance on sensation alone may increase risk. Particularly, night time humid heat in low‐latitude coastal Asian cities is perceived as less risky than indicated by HSI due to a muted perception of high humidity impact and the absence of solar radiation that would strongly signal heat discomfort. These findings help elucidate inconsistent conclusions in the existing literature stemming from the use of different thermal metrics and localize spatiotemporal hotspots for targeted heat health warning systems

Item Type: Article
DOI/Identification number: 10.1029/2026EF008395
Subjects: N Visual Arts > NA Architecture
Institutional Unit: Schools > School of Arts and Architecture
Former Institutional Unit:
There are no former institutional units.
Depositing User: Rosalyn Bass
Date Deposited: 27 Jul 2026 10:03 UTC
Last Modified: 28 Jul 2026 09:53 UTC
Resource URI: https://kar.kent.ac.uk/id/eprint/115796 (The current URI for this page, for reference purposes)

University of Kent Author Information

Nikolopoulou, Marialena.

Creator's ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0528-2145
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