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Routine-biased technical change, structure of employment, and cross-country income differences

Peña, Werner and Siegel, Christian (2023) Routine-biased technical change, structure of employment, and cross-country income differences. Discussion paper. Centre for Economic Policy Research CEPR Discussion Paper No. 18366. (doi:CEPR Discussion Paper No. 18366) (Access to this publication is currently restricted. You may be able to access a copy if URLs are provided) (KAR id:114514)

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Abstract

We investigate links between routine-biased technical change, the structure of occupational employment, and cross-country income differences. To implement this,

we combine several data sources including national labour force surveys and Penn World Tables. We first document that in our novel dataset spanning 92 countries there is a negative relationship between the employment share of routine occupations and GDP per hour worked. We then conduct a development accounting exercise

where we differentiate labour inputs by occupation and allow for occupation-specific technologies. We find a systematic relationship between occupation-specific technologies and GDP per hour worked. More developed economies use technologies that are more routine-biased. The productivity of routine labour is about 14 times higher in the top 25 percent than in the bottom 25 percent of countries ranked by GDP per hour worked. International differences in this routine labour technology by themselves account for about 17 percent of the 90-10 ratio of GDP per hour worked, whereas differences in abstract labour technology do not contribute to the observed GDP dispersion. Eliminating all occupations’ and capital’s technology differences across the world would compress the GDP distribution by 32 to 40 percent.

Item Type: Reports and Papers (Discussion paper)
DOI/Identification number: CEPR Discussion Paper No. 18366
Uncontrolled keywords: biased technical change; employment structure; income differences; development accounting
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Institutional Unit: Schools > School of Economics and Politics and International Relations > Economics
Former Institutional Unit:
There are no former institutional units.
Depositing User: Christian Siegel
Date Deposited: 07 May 2026 08:41 UTC
Last Modified: 07 May 2026 09:10 UTC
Resource URI: https://kar.kent.ac.uk/id/eprint/114514 (The current URI for this page, for reference purposes)

University of Kent Author Information

Peña, Werner.

Creator's ORCID:
CReDIT Contributor Roles:

Siegel, Christian.

Creator's ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1686-8686
CReDIT Contributor Roles:
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