A Long View of the UK Business Cycle

Chadha, Jagjit S. and Nolan, Charles (2002) A Long View of the UK Business Cycle. National Institute Economic Review, 182 (1). pp. 72-89. ISSN 0027-9501. (The full text of this publication is not available from this repository)

The full text of this publication is not available from this repository. (Contact us about this Publication)


We outline a number of 'stylised' facts on the UK business cycle obtained from analysis of the long-run UK annual dataset. The findings are to some extent standard. Consumption and investment are pro-cyclical, with productivity playing a dominant role in explaining business cycle fluctuations at all horizons. Money neutrality obtains over the long run but there is clear evidence of non-neutrality over the short run, particularly at the business cycle frequencies. Business cycle rela-tionships with the external sector via the real exchange rate and current account are notable. Postwar, the price level is counter-cyclical and real wages are pro-cyclical, as are nominal interest rates. Modern general equilibrium macroeconomic models capture many of these patterns.

Item Type: Article
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Divisions: Faculties > Social Sciences > School of Economics
Depositing User: Jagjit Chadha
Date Deposited: 02 Oct 2008 21:51
Last Modified: 14 May 2014 11:21
Resource URI: https://kar.kent.ac.uk/id/eprint/10993 (The current URI for this page, for reference purposes)
  • Depositors only (login required):