Mapping and predicting deforestation patterns in the lowlands of Sumatra

Linkie, Matthew and Smith, Robert J. and Leader-Williams, Nigel (2004) Mapping and predicting deforestation patterns in the lowlands of Sumatra. Biodiversity and Conservation, 13 (10). pp. 1809-1818. ISSN 0960-3115. (The full text of this publication is not currently available from this repository. You may be able to access a copy if URLs are provided)

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Protected area managers have limited resources and so need fine-scale information to decide where to focus their budgets for law enforcement and community outreach. This study used satellite imagery to map and analyse forest loss in an area that overlaps with Kerinci Seblat National Park, Sumatra, to identify areas most susceptible to illegal logging. Between 1985 and 1992, forest located at lower elevation and close to roads was most vulnerable to clearance. These factors were also significant between 1992 and 1999, along with distance to newly created logging roads. The presence of these roads probably explained why the deforestation rate increased from 1.1% per year to 3.0% per year over the two study periods. The accuracy of the 1985-1992 model was measured in the field and successfully predicted subsequent deforestation patterns, suggesting that this methodology could be used to identify where future patrolling effort and community outreach programmes should be focussed. In addition, this approach could be used more widely in conservation planning to prioritise the protection of vulnerable sites.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled keywords: conservation planning deforestation kerinci seblat national park satellite imagery sumatra tropical deforestation southeast mexico brazilian amazon conservation biodiversity forests rates reserves future trends
Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GN Anthropology
Divisions: Faculties > Social Sciences > School of Anthropology and Conservation > DICE (Durrell Institute of Conservation and Ecology)
Depositing User: Bob Smith
Date Deposited: 03 Oct 2008 09:01
Last Modified: 04 Nov 2014 09:34
Resource URI: (The current URI for this page, for reference purposes)
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