Age-dependent mixture models for recovery data on animals marked at unknown age

McCrea, Rachel S. and Morgan, Byron J. T. and Cole, Diana J. (2013) Age-dependent mixture models for recovery data on animals marked at unknown age. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), 62 (1). pp. 101-113. ISSN 0035-9254. (The full text of this publication is not available from this repository)

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Official URL
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9876.2012.01043.x

Abstract

Data are often collected from wild animals that have been marked at unknown age. As a result, standard probability models, fitted by maximum likelihood, cannot incorporate age dependence in probabilities of annual survival.We propose and fit new mixture models to ring–recovery data on birds ringed of unknown age, in which it is possible to incorporate age dependence in survival. It is shown that it is important to analyse simultaneously data on animals marked as young, and of known age, as otherwise the mixture model is parameter redundant. The potential of the approach is illustrated by a new analysis of data on mallards, Anas platyrhynchos, and the wider performance of the approach is demonstrated through simulation.The models provide a way of analysing correctly large numbers of historical data sets.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled keywords: Age dependence; Mixture models; Parameter redundancy; Ring–recovery data
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics (inc Computing science) > QA276 Mathematical statistics
Divisions: Faculties > Science Technology and Medical Studies > School of Mathematics Statistics and Actuarial Science > Statistics
Depositing User: Diana Cole
Date Deposited: 04 Oct 2012 08:37
Last Modified: 14 May 2014 15:25
Resource URI: http://kar.kent.ac.uk/id/eprint/31242 (The current URI for this page, for reference purposes)
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