McCrea, R.S. and Morgan, B.J.T. and Bregnballe, T. (2012) Model comparison and assessment for multi-state capture-recapture-recovery data. Journal of Ornithology, 152 (s2). pp. 293-303. ISSN 0021-8375.
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The work of this paper is motivated by a study of Great Cormorants, Phalacrocorax carbo sinensis, in Denmark. The dataset is complex, involving birds in different states living in and moving between neighbouring colonies. As a consequence, the set of probability models that might describe the data is large. In order to choose between the models, we present a score test approach for moving efficiently between the members of a model set with many members. We then provide a new measure for testing the absolute goodness-of-fit of the selected model to the data. This measure may be used when a model is multi-state/multi-site, and involves age- and time-dependence, as well as integrated recovery and recapture data, which is needed for the application. An illustration is provided by data from a single colony only, but with two breeding states, and an additional emigrated state.
|Uncontrolled keywords:||Goodness-of-fit – Great Cormorants – Integrated recovery and recapture data – Multi-state models – Score tests|
|Subjects:||Q Science > QA Mathematics (inc Computing science) > QA276 Mathematical statistics|
|Divisions:||Faculties > Science Technology and Medical Studies > School of Mathematics Statistics and Actuarial Science > Statistics|
|Depositing User:||Rachel McCrea|
|Date Deposited:||13 Jun 2012 11:32|
|Last Modified:||16 Oct 2012 09:13|
|Resource URI:||http://kar.kent.ac.uk/id/eprint/29645 (The current URI for this page, for reference purposes)|
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